Transaction exposure
The risk that a payment or receipt in another currency is worth less, or costs more, by the time it settles.
Invoice 4471 to Hartmann AG, EUR 10.0M, was due 12 Sep and paid 30 Sep. The euro fell 3% in between: (US$0.3M).
Glossary
41 terms that come up when currencies, rates and hedges move your numbers. Each with a worked example.
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What is at risk, and where it sits.
The risk that a payment or receipt in another currency is worth less, or costs more, by the time it settles.
Invoice 4471 to Hartmann AG, EUR 10.0M, was due 12 Sep and paid 30 Sep. The euro fell 3% in between: (US$0.3M).
The change in reported results when a foreign subsidiary's accounts are restated into the group's reporting currency. Real in the accounts, never a cash movement.
Kestrel's German subsidiary earns in euros and the group reports in US dollars. A weaker euro shrinks its profit in the group accounts.
The longer-term effect of currency moves on a company's prices, competitiveness and future cash flows.
A stronger dollar makes a US exporter's products dearer abroad for years, not just this quarter.
Foreign-currency receivables, payables and loans that are remeasured at each period-end rate. The change lands in the FX result.
A euro receivable on US dollar books is remeasured every month end until it is paid.
Currency flows the business expects but hasn't booked yet: planned sales, purchases or payroll.
The UK team's Q4 payroll in pounds is known from the forecast before a single payslip exists.
Inflows and outflows in the same currency that offset each other. They only offset if they settle close together.
€5.0M in on 9 Aug and (€5.0M) out on 27 Aug net to zero on the report, but sit 18 days apart unhedged.
The currency of the main economic environment an entity operates in. Anything in another currency creates exposure.
Kestrel's Mexican plant runs on pesos, so the copper it buys in US dollars is foreign currency.
The currency a group publishes its accounts in.
US dollars, for Kestrel Industries, with entities in Germany, the UK and Mexico.
Currency risk on loans, charges and trades between a group's own entities. The balances cancel out in the group accounts; the FX gains and losses on them often don't.
The tools and rules that reduce it.
An agreement to exchange two currencies at a fixed rate on a future date. It locks the rate; it doesn't fix the timing.
Sell EUR 8.0M for US dollars at 1.0890 on 12 Sep.
The gap between the spot rate and the forward rate, set mainly by the interest rates of the two currencies.
Spot 1.0850, three-month forward 1.0890: 40 points.
Two opposite trades in one: exchange currencies now and swap them back later at an agreed rate. Often used to roll a hedge forward.
The right, but not the obligation, to exchange at a set rate. It costs a premium up front and protects against a bad move while keeping a good one.
The share of an exposure that is hedged.
€21M hedged of €50M is 42%. The policy asks for 75%.
The board-approved rules for what to hedge, how much, how far ahead and with which instruments.
Hedge 75% of the next six months of euro exposure, in monthly layers.
Building cover in slices over time instead of all at once, so the average rate moves smoothly.
How long until a hedge settles.
A three-month forward placed on 1 Jul settles around 1 Oct.
Accounting rules that let a hedge's gains and losses land in the same period as the risk it covers, instead of swinging the P&L on their own.
A hedge of future cash flows, such as forecast sales. Under hedge accounting its value changes wait in equity until the hedged flow happens.
A hedge of the value of a foreign subsidiary in the group accounts. It offsets translation swings in equity.
The bank on the other side of a trade. Orbit is never a counterparty, so it has nothing to sell you.
Why the result moved, part by part.
Splitting a reported FX result into the drivers that caused it, each traced to the line in your books behind it.
(US$3.0M) = rate (2.0) + timing (0.6) + volume (0.6) + hedges +0.2.
The total effect of currency moves on a period's results, usually booked to one ledger account.
Ledger 7810 · FX gains and losses: (US$3.0M) in Q3.
The part of the result caused by the market itself: rates moving against the rates you planned or booked at.
The euro fell and the peso and pound rose while exposure was open: (US$2.0M) in Q3.
The part caused by money arriving or leaving on different dates than planned or hedged.
14 invoices paid 9–18 days late: (US$0.6M).
The part caused by more or less exposure than the plan assumed, left unhedged.
GBP 2.0M and MXN 40M above plan: (US$0.6M).
Realised gains and losses come from settled transactions; unrealised ones from remeasuring open balances at period end. Both reach the P&L.
Restating this period at last period's rates, to show growth as if currencies hadn't moved.
The exchange rate assumed in the budget. Results are judged against it.
How much of the gap between planned and actual results came from currency rather than the business.
Plan 40.0, actual 37.5: FX explains (3.0) of the gap, copper (1.0).
Hedged share classes and their bands.
A class of a fund that hedges its foreign assets back to the investor's currency, so currency barely touches its return.
Balanced Fund Class H: US assets hedged to Canadian dollars, target 95%.
The range a hedged class's cover must stay inside, set around its target.
Target 95%, band 90–100%.
Replacing hedges as they mature, usually monthly or quarterly, and resizing them to the class's exposure.
Last roll 30 Jun; eleven weeks later US$34M was open.
The cost of rolling a hedge, from the forward points and the dealing spread.
(C$0.1M) of Class H's currency drag in Q3.
An extra hedge placed between rolls to bring cover back inside the band.
US$32M brings Class H back to 95%.
The value of a fund or share class per unit, struck by the administrator, usually daily.
The rates underneath everything.
The rate to exchange currencies now, usually settling two business days later.
The gap between two currencies' interest rates. It sets forward points, so hedging can cost or earn money.
Selling forward a currency that pays more interest than your own locks in a rate below spot.
How much a rate tends to move. It drives option prices and how wide a policy band needs to be.
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